Russell Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Passing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Russell Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 65.2% to 68.3%.
Russell Wilson has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 8.13 yards-per-target while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most yards in football (248.0 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 8.46 yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to attempt 33.5 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
The Houston Texans defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.67 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

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