My Account Log Out
 
 
Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • Russell Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 65.2% to 68.3%.
  • Russell Wilson has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 8.13 yards-per-target while grading out in the 88th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-most yards in football (248.0 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 8.46 yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to attempt 33.5 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
  • The Houston Texans defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.67 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™