Russell Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Passing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-most yards in football (275.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (76.6%).

Favors Under

Russell Wilson's throwing precision has declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 55.8%.
Russell Wilson has been among the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 6.64 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 24th percentile.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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