Russell Wilson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Pass Attempts

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 5:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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