Russell Wilson Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Interceptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 1:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-129/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos O-line has afforded their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Russell Wilson has totaled a lowly 0.37 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have intercepted 1.07 passes per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.