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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-129/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line has afforded their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Russell Wilson has totaled a lowly 0.37 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have intercepted 1.07 passes per game this year, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the NFL by this statistic.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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