My Account Log Out

reorder

Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts have intercepted 0.26 passes per game this year, grading out as the 6th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

Russell Wilson has averaged a lowly 0.25 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More Russell Wilson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™