Russell Wilson Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Interceptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The Denver Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
The Denver Broncos O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Russell Wilson has thrown just 0.43 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.
The Baltimore Ravens have intercepted 0.95 balls per game this year, grading out as the 4th-best defense in the league by this statistic.
The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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