Russell Wilson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Completions

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
Russell Wilson's 65.8% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable improvement in his throwing precision over last season's 59.3% mark.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Russell Wilson to attempt 33.0 passes this week, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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