Russell Wilson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Completions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 13, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
Russell Wilson's 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a a significant boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 59.3% rate.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in football versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (66.4% Adjusted Completion%).
The Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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