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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Denver Broncos O-line has afforded their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Russell Wilson's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 65.3% to 56.3%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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