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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest rate in football vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (74.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to attempt 37.2 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

Russell Wilson's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 57.7%.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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