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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+103/-136).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Denver Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (74.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Russell Wilson's throwing precision has tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.3% to 57.2%.

The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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