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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

After accounting for 17.3% of his offense's carries last year, Russell Wilson has been called on less the run game this year, currently sitting at only 8.1%.

The Baltimore defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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