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Russell Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Russell Wilson
QB · Denver Broncos
Carries
Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Russell Wilson Carries

Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -106.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to notch the 5th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 4.2.
  • Accounting for 16.0% of his offense's run game usage this year (84th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Russell Wilson's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon in Denver's rushing attack.
  • The Houston Texans defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
Favors Under
  • The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
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