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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-132/+102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run on 46.8% of their downs: the 6th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Russell Wilson isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 15.3% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 126.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 53.2 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Cleveland's collection of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the league.

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