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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive scheme to skew 1.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • Russell Wilson isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 15.6% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run on 42.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 60.8 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • The model projects Russell Wilson to accrue 3.4 carries this week, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

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