Russell Gage Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Russell Gage

NFL · Player Props

Russell Gage

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Russell Gage Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Russell Gage has been among the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 4.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Russell Gage has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (15.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (22.3%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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