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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Russell Gage Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Russell Gage has been among the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 4.4 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Russell Gage has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (15.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (22.3%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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