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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Russell Gage Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-177/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Russell Gage's 23.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 53.2.
  • Russell Gage's receiving talent has tailed off this year, notching just 3.5 yards per game compared to 5.2 last year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.3%) to wideouts this year (64.3%).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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