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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Russell Gage Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Russell Gage's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, notching 5.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 3.24 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Russell Gage has been much less involved in his offense's pass attack this season (15.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (22.3%).

Russell Gage has notched far fewer air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

Russell Gage has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Russell Gage's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, totaling just 5.96 yards-per-target vs a 8.81 mark last season.

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