Russell Gage Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Russell Gage

NFL · Player Props

Russell Gage

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Gage Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Russell Gage's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, totaling 6.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.24 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Russell Gage has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (15.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (22.3%).
Russell Gage has notched far fewer air yards this season (31.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).
Russell Gage has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
Russell Gage's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, compiling just 5.75 yards-per-target vs a 8.81 mark last year.

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