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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Russell Gage Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Russell Gage's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 72.2% to 82.5%.
  • Russell Gage's talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this season, accumulating 6.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.24 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Russell Gage has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this season (16.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (22.3%).
  • Russell Gage has compiled far fewer air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).
  • Russell Gage has put up a lot fewer receiving yards per game (40.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
  • Russell Gage's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling just 6.44 yards-per-target compared to a 8.81 mark last year.

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