Russell Gage Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Russell Gage

NFL · Player Props

Russell Gage

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 8:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Gage Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Russell Gage to notch 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Russell Gage has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 21.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Russell Gage has received a whopping 24.2% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 138.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.3%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (60.3%).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, conceding 7.71 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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