Russell Gage Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Russell Gage

NFL · Player Props

Russell Gage

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Gage Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Russell Gage has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this season (12.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (22.3%).
Russell Gage has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).
Russell Gage has notched quite a few less receiving yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
Russell Gage's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 6.82 yards-per-target compared to a 8.78 rate last year.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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