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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Russell Gage Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Russell Gage has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a terrific 72.6% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Russell Gage has posted quite a few less air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

Russell Gage's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 53.2.

Russell Gage has compiled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

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