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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Russell Gage Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-569).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +324 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +313.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the most passing touchdowns in football to wideouts: 1.80 per game this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Russell Gage has notched far fewer air yards this season (31.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

Russell Gage's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 53.2.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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