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Russell Gage

Russell Gage Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Russell Gage Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+283/-487).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -440 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -487.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 6th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Russell Gage to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

Russell Gage's 38.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 53.2.

The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 8th-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the league since the start of last season.

More Russell Gage Player Props

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