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Roschon Johnson
NFL · Player Props
Roschon Johnson
RB · Chicago Bears
Rushing Yards
New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards

Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -109.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the most run-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 46.9% run rate.
  • While Roschon Johnson has earned 21.6% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Chicago's running game in this contest at 37.7%.
  • The Chicago O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
  • Roschon Johnson's rushing effectiveness (4.43 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • This year, the imposing New Orleans Saints run defense has given up a puny 4.53 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 24th-best rate in the league.
Favors Under
  • The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • With a lousy rate of 1.93 yards after contact (20th percentile) this year, Roschon Johnson places among the least effective running backs in football.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
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