Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 6, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bears to run on 48.6% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
Roschon Johnson has been among the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 1.86 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.

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