Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 9th-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
This year, the feeble Detroit Lions run defense has been gouged for a massive 3.82 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 29th-biggest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Detroit's group of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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