Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for the run game.
This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a whopping 147.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in football.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Carolina's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

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