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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Roschon Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The Chicago Bears offense has played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Roschon Johnson's 90.5% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Roschon Johnson has been a less important option in his team's air attack this season (4.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.7%).

Roschon Johnson's play as a receiver has tailed off this year, totaling just 1.2 adjusted catches vs 2.3 last year.

This year, the imposing Vikings defense has allowed a puny 77.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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