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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Roschon Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Roschon Johnson's 88.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material gain in his receiving skills over last year's 81.4% mark.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Roschon Johnson has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this year (5.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.7%).

Roschon Johnson's 1.3 adjusted catches per game this season shows a noteable drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 2.3 figure.

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