Roschon Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Roschon Johnson has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among running backs, completing a stellar 90.9% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Denver's unit has been terrible since the start of last season, projecting as the worst in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.

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