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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a giant 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

This year, the anemic Lions defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a whopping 7.86 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are projected by the projection model to run just 64.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's safety corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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