My Account Log Out

reorder

Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bears, who are heavy -9.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 63.3% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The Bears have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 61.3 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bears to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Roschon Johnson's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 15.1.

Roschon Johnson has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (14.0).

This year, the stout Detroit Lions defense has allowed a puny 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-best in football.

This year, the imposing Lions defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.8 yards.

More Roschon Johnson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™