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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The Chicago Bears offense has played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

When it comes to air yards, Roschon Johnson ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a massive 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Roschon Johnson has been a less important option in his team's air attack this season (4.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.7%).

Roschon Johnson's 9.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a significant regression in his receiving skills over last year's 14.0 mark.

This year, the imposing Vikings defense has allowed a puny 77.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

This year, the daunting Vikings defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a feeble 5.1 yards.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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