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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.3 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

Roschon Johnson has notched a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

In regards to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Roschon Johnson's 7.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 15.1.

Roschon Johnson's 9.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 14.0 rate.

The Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.1%) vs. running backs this year (80.1%).

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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