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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.16 seconds per play.

Roschon Johnson has accrued a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Roschon Johnson's 88.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material gain in his receiving skills over last year's 81.4% mark.

Roschon Johnson's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, accumulating 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 4.92 figure last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Roschon Johnson has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this year (5.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.7%).

The New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 28.0) to running backs this year.

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