Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Roschon Johnson has received a monstrous 1.1% of his team's air yards this year: 88th percentile among RBs.
Roschon Johnson has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among running backs, completing a stellar 90.9% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.
The Broncos defense has allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in football (40.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 14.37 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
Roschon Johnson has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 4.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.

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