Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Roschon Johnson to accumulate 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in football (41.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the league (90.9%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (90.9%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
Roschon Johnson has been among the worst RBs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 4.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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