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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Roschon Johnson has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 9.7% this year, which ranks in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (92.3%) to running backs this year (92.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Roschon Johnson has accumulated a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Roschon Johnson profiles as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among RBs, averaging a mere 3.75 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 5th percentile.
  • With a weak 4.84 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) this year, Roschon Johnson has been among the best pass-game RBs in football in space.

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