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Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Roschon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 9.2% Target% (77th percentile) this year, Roschon Johnson ranks among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.
  • This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a whopping 8.11 YAC.
  • The Panthers safeties grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see only 125.5 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.4 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to air yards, Roschon Johnson ranks in the paltry 20th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.

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