Roschon Johnson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Roschon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Roschon Johnson

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Roschon Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 46.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Roschon Johnson to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack in this contest (38.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (19.3% in games he has played).
In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Bears grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DEs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.

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