Rondale Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 16, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
The Bears safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
Rondale Moore has gone out for fewer passes this year (74.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (94.6%).
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
Rondale Moore's 2.2 adjusted catches per game this season marks a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last season's 5.0 rate.

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