Rondale Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-128/+100).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Favors Under
The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.4% pass rate.
Rondale Moore's 75.3% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a noteworthy decline in his passing game utilization over last year's 94.6% mark.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
Rondale Moore's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a material regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.0 figure.