Rondale Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune.
The Cardinals are a big 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Favors Under

The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in football (55.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the model to call only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.
Rondale Moore has been less involved as a potential target this year (74.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (94.6%).

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