Rondale Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
The Rams linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Rondale Moore's 75.7% Route% this season shows a substantial reduction in his passing attack usage over last season's 94.6% figure.
Rondale Moore has put up far fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).

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