Rondale Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rondale Moore has been used less as a potential target this year (94.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (48.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Rondale Moore's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 83.5% to 73.0%.
Rondale Moore's talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a measly 6.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.96 figure last season.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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