Rondale Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-370).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rondale Moore to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (19.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (13.3% in games he has played).
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Rondale Moore has totaled a puny 9.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 14th percentile among wideouts.
Rondale Moore's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 83.5% to 75.1%.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.