Rondale Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Rondale Moore

NFL · Player Props

Rondale Moore

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Rondale Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-507).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -357 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -507.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Rondale Moore has notched far more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (6.0 per game).
Rondale Moore's 39.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 23.4.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
THE BLITZ projects Rondale Moore to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (21.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.3% in games he has played).
Rondale Moore's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 83.5% to 75.3%.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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