Romeo Doubs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Romeo Doubs

NFL · Player Props

Romeo Doubs

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Romeo Doubs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.
Romeo Doubs has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this year (21.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (15.6%).
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
Romeo Doubs's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 66.2% to 58.2%.
The Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.5%) versus wide receivers this year (56.5%).

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